Solving Mathematical Problems, Terence Tao. , John Hoskyns. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. Youll understand more of how SW1 really works than from all PM memoirs of the last 30 years combined (PMs never face why they dont control much of Whitehall even after theyve gone). The peacetime bureaucracy knew what it valued. How to predict news? I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. His. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, David Deutschs books. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. Its often found in terrorist safe houses when raided. On digital fabrication. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. But this also means theres always billion dollar bills on the pavement sometimes even trillion dollar bills, like do vaccines much faster and smarter than usual in spring 2020, and like now with 2024 approaching People, ideas, machines in that order! Robert Coram wrote a biography. The more I study the more clear it is that luck plays a crucial part in almost all famous successes. Reading List Dominic Cummings Jun 26, 2022 80 This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Dominic Cummings substack Subscribe to view Keep reading with a 7-day free trial Subscribe to Dominic Cummings substack to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. SW1 suffers such extremely powerful wilful blindness even an event as big as covid doesnt puncture consciousness in many important ways. , Franzen. , Gigerenzer. It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. Like with ARPA-PARC its fascinating to see how funders ignore such successful examples. Nelson, biography by John Sugden. I will publish soon a chronology of 1862-67 following the twists and turns of Schleswig-Holstein, the escalating conflict with Austria, the domestic conflict running through the period. If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. I will publish soon a chronology of 1862-67 following the twists and turns of Schleswig-Holstein, the escalating conflict with Austria, the domestic conflict running through the period. We look back on history and abstract over decades or centuries, judging the ideas that held sway for a few decades and sneering at how formerly all the world was mad as Nietzsche put it. . Useful introduction to some fundamentals, from Pythagoras to Newton to e and complex numbers. , Gershenfeld (MIT). Steve has a startup that is a leading player in this emerging field. The director was evacuated from the horror of Stalingrad as a child: The city was ablaze up to the top of the sky. , Hardy. Cowen & Collison handed out fast grants to researchers during covid and at my request advised UKRI on how to speed up in spring 2020. on the hideous science funding system. I was amazed and desperate. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. Michael Nielsen on quantum mechanics and computers: Why the world needs quantum mechanics Quantum Computing for Everyone Quantum Computing for the Determined. Theoretical Minimum, Leonard Susskind (2013). Ill do a separate list on science funding. His book 'Causality' is the leading textbook in the field. , in contrast to most professional economists who influence media debate on regulation who have no idea of how government really works and how destructive it is to make simple things take years, how it drives people away, rewards the worst people and companies etc. 121. David Deutschs books. Something on how ideas change over different time scales. , Marcus du Sautoy. The main biography of Buffett, , is also interesting. . Pflouffe ran the Obama 08 campaign and 2012 re-election. I really liked this classic but a lot was beyond me. Why Superforecasting is top of Dominic Cummings' reading list Perhaps hoping his colleagues will be able to see into the future, the prime minister's chief adviser has advocated a book on how to. Cummings was his most senior adviser his de facto chief of staff and the architect of the Tories' 2019 landslide victory in the general election. (I knew Mark, a professor at Cambridge, who spent a huge amount of time over the past decade helping state school pupils get hold of great physics material via Isaac Physics. How to Solve It, Polya. Autocracy has wide variance in performance one minute you have Bismarck in charge, the next you have Wilhelm II firing him and trying to govern himself in an appalling disaster that took the best educated country in the world towards Nazism. Cited by many professional mathematicians as an inspiration. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. By Andy Hayes, news reporter Thursday 27 May 2021 06:28, UK Matt Hancock, Boris Johnson, Carrie Symonds and even Dilyn the dog have been the focus of numerous explosive claims from Dominic Cummings What is moral behaviour is not the same question as what are the principles of high performance in politics! Tolstoy and Dostoyevsky. Like all the best political advice you dont need to be clever to understand it. dominiccummings.substack.com. Partly accessible to a non-specialist with some maths already, though very challenging for most including me. The Dream Machine, Waldrop. are great. It was night, bombs were exploding, and mothers were covering their children with whatever bedding they had, and then they would lie on top of them. The Quark and the Jaguar, Murray Gell Mann. Nobel-winner, Feynman sparring partner, co-founder of Santa Fe Institute, wrote a book on complex systems for the general reader. by Gomme and Andrewes, two of the great 20th C classical scholars. On Renoir and Hollywood: It would be ridiculous to be bitter about Hollywood. My wild Westminster Dubbed 'The Gazelle' by the press, she was a trusted aide who babysat Boris, chauffeured Dominic Cummings and chaperoned Carrie Johnson when the PM was ill. As a new television drama depicts Downing Street during the pandemic, Cleo Watson describes her whirlwind year at No 10 Dress to thrill Feeling gilty? Those who think very fast timetables are plausible, because (partly) they worry about the effects of their comments. Follow Julia Galef. Michael also wrote the textbook on QCs, one of the top ten cited physics books ever written. . We can now test fertilised eggs for common risk factors such as mental disorders and heart attacks and choose which egg to use for IVF. This is true even of those who frequently complain about this phenomenon. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. If you havent read it dont read another modern book until you have. If youre in Georgia, visit her house in Milledgeville. The Misbehaviour of Financial Markets, Mandelbrot. Also. Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include. Viz the famous lists, Yes to Renoir, Welles, Chaplin, Keaton, No to Fellini (tried to watch 8 1/2 at least five times and fallen asleep fast every time) and Hitchcock. Update to Trump v Biden blog of last September. , Terence Tao. khloe kardashian hidden hills house address. For us its often seen as high level political philosophy but it was bashed out by Hamilton et al as part of a brutal political struggle including many dirty tricks on both sides. If one could observe a discussion between Bismarck and one politician from the 20th Century, he might be the most interesting choice. , General Groves. Apr 18. . Ive written blogs on some other important books: Paynes recent books on nuclear weapons. , Hunter S Thompson. Warning, its an accurate portrayal of atrocities on the Eastern Front therefore truly horrific. E.g his few pages on maths and economics which few economists seem to know about! The Deputy Prime Minister resigned yesterday because a lawyer found against him on two of the eight allegations made. The basic arguments remain critical today. Steve Jobs advised Obama to do the same but it didnt happen. Just in Time, John Hoskyns. , and let non-player characters stumble into a set of critical decisions in November? Partly accessible to a non-specialist with some maths already, though very challenging for most including me. One of Britains most senior and respected civil servants, Michael Quinlan, wrote this paper after retiring, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, on nuclear strategy. Hes a very unusual thinker and much more right much more often than just about anybody, partly because of how he thinks. Notes on Colin Grays Strategy and Defence Planning, following on from military innovation, The Kill Chain, nuclear (sorry for slow progress on Payne). He was a mathematician who got interested in how markets work. LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). one of my terrorist demands when Boris asked me to go to No10, 21 July 2019). Interesting on the psychology of selling and marketing. E.g his few pages on, which few economists seem to know about! , Professor Mark Warner. In 2018 I asked some academics to consider this and we built a crude tool. For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. (This series was written for the Russian correspondence school a way of giving talented maths pupils a useful curriculum in such a vast country. 26. , Charlie Munger. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. Can we survive technology?, von Neumann, 1955. A remarkable 19th Century book about propaganda and politics that influenced Lenin, Hitler and PR pioneers like Bernays. One must not be squeamish about admitting this (Strauss). There is a great Commentary by Gomme and Andrewes, two of the great 20th C classical scholars. On the 50th anniversary Munger reflected on why his partnership with Buffett had been so successful and Buffetts personality. I was amazed and desperate. Richard Feynman was a giant of theoretical physics who famously defined science as "the belief in the ignorance of experts". Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. , Carville & Matalin. A Boyd ally wrote about his time in the Pentagon dealing with the extreme nightmare of procurement. No doubt about that Nietzsche produced the climate in which Fascism and Hitlerism could emerge. Please leave errors and suggestions below, Ill tweak and add over time and notify of updates. Oppenheimer is better known but Groves was his boss. NB. The real reason is most people in politics dont want to face the big questions about what government is for and how to do it better (and especially dont want to face the quality of people). *Chaplin City Lights, The Gold Rush, Modern Times, Great Dictator. The best book on politics. A reader with no more than GCSE Maths can read this introduction to maths from Greece through the birth of calculus. Dominic Cummings told Parliament that his ex-boss, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, was "unfit for the job" and that government incompetence lead to thousands of excess Covid-19 deaths. the failure of alignment and/or the inherent drive of high intelligence to escape constraints/control/alignment with others goals? An inspiration for changes to maths teaching I pushed in 2011-14, including trying to get a maths for Presidents course going. Had I included everything I knew and shown the whole truth, even I could not have watched it. If theres one film to show Nietzsche brought back from the dead, maybe this is it. Doing the Impossible, Slotkin. As the craziness of 2024 approaches his ideas will be much more influential in some circles than you will realise from the media. Yes its striking that looking at my internet favourites for politics there are no UK-based political blogs/writers I regularly read. A classic book on calculus / analysis designed for undergraduates. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. Insider account of how the legendary Skunk Works worked by a guy who ran it. Considered by many in Silicon Valley to be the best book on the details of management. Lines and Curves, Vassiliev and Gutenmacher. Fascinating. With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. Re George Mueller, the man who managed the Apollo program. the word strategy is a) used differently in military books, b) used differently over time, c) constantly misused in politics.). Also cf. Like all the best political advice you dont need to be clever to understand it. If you want to stop Trump in 2024 you should figure out what you could offer Plouffes wife to let him do it. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read Paul Grahams essays. The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. Youll see its very similar to Grovess principles (above). (NB. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. Fascinating. On expert decisions under pressure, like firemen. Her recent book, The Scout Mindset, was excellent. Also you cant understand our world unless you have a sense of Nietzsches profound influence on 20th Century artists, thinkers, and politics. Before the current lockdown scandal, he was best known for. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. (A great highlight of Oxford for me was four-hour tutorials with RLF on Athenian democracy, Thucydides, Alexander etc.). Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. Oppenheimer is better known but Groves was his boss. (This series was written for the Russian correspondence school a way of giving talented maths pupils a useful curriculum in such a vast country. Anyone interested in terrorism and counter-terrorism should watch Pontecorvos movie The Battle of Algiers, one of the best movies ever made. Ive written a few things about his work. E.g rapidly speeding up construction/housing/infrastructure, how to accelerate scientific discovery and technological development. Book accompanying an OU course. Sign in Alan Kay, one of those present at the creation, says its by far the best history. As long promised (sorry! (A counterfactual: if Thatcher had taken his advice in the early 1980s and rejected the emerging Single Market plan and embarked on civil service reform?). I thought this was outstanding and every young person aspiring to be influential in politics should read it. Six months later tens of thousands died for the lack of such skills. Dominic Cummings's Odyssean reading list might make you smarter. You have to neglect things if you intend to get what you want done. . Had I included everything I knew and shown the whole truth, even I could not have watched it. If theres one film to show Nietzsche brought back from the dead, maybe this is it. I should have read this, havent, will. A history of the amazing Bell Labs which famously won more Nobels than most EU countries. which egg to use for IVF. In the meantime Ill post another tomorrow. . Welles dismissed the French auteur theory as not relevant to the old Hollywood where the producers called the shots, not the directors. Sources of Power, Klein. The Federalist Papers. Ciceros letters. I started like everyone young assuming those at the top of politics must be smart, interested in policy and great at organising things. (NB. You often read versions of those really at the edge of this research do not predict fast timetables. ), , Waldrop. Again the meta-lesson: the media often obsesses with specific horrific stories which for a few days absorb SW1 attention, but there is no interest in actually solving the institutional problems and the institutions will successfully resist change during a media panic then go back to business as usual. Functions and Graphs, Gelfand and Glagoleva. , Morris Kline. , summarising the arguments on why artificial general intelligence is so dangerous and why controlling these dangers is so very hard. (Planning to see some classics Ive missed: theory as not relevant to the old Hollywood where the producers called the shots, not the directors. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. Influence, Cialdini. The Power Broker, Robert Caro. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. Producers didnt want to make a Renoir picture even if it was a success. The media laughed and many said its so boring. I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. Please just ask one question as precisely as you can, it will increase the chance I answer. ! In War and Peace, you see a world historical genius skip between vast scales of time and space, connecting tiny things happening this moment to the biggest things affecting decades or centuries to come. Someone should run a prize for the best 10,000 word essay summarising the fundamental lessons of this book (which I havent read in full, just skimmed, because of time not a judgement). Cowen & Collison handed out fast grants to researchers during covid and at my request advised UKRI on how to speed up in spring 2020. I searched for explanations. , Leonard Susskind (2013). Quantum Computing Since Democritus, Scott Aaronson (2013) is a brilliant introduction to many ideas about computation, physics and quantum information. All ideas welcome. Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. (general reader). In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). I wrote, which has a further reading list. Genres Politics It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. But the storyteller makes this picture incredibly beautiful. Likes. Perhaps America has elections every four years, power supply is ~100% reliable in the First World, Europe wont see millions killed in wars again, nobody lives happily/normally to 200, robots cant escape control and kill vast numbers of humans, children should study curricula controlled by the state, I support policies that undermine traditional ideas about the family will seem as quaint in 2052 as Bertrand Russell being taught by a grandfather whod met Napoleon that British naval dominance is a fact of life. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. Many academics predicted OpenAIs approach would not work but have been proved repeatedly wrong.). The main biography of Buffett, The Snowball, is also interesting. On typical problems dealing with statistics, Bayes Theory, and how to improve understanding of probability. Please, . Youll see its very similar to Grovess principles (above). Also, Defense In Atomic War. I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. Professor Sides Dominic Cummings Nov 22, 2022 59 134 Ask Me Anything Monday 28 November, 1900-2100 Dominic Cummings Nov 21, 2022 57 310 Sun Tzu. If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. The story of Turing, von Neumann and the computer. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. And power was given unto them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth.
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